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Don’t Trust This Utility’s Dividend

Tuesday, September 18th, 2012 Fig1_ConEd

Smart investors consider more than just the dividend of a stock. They also consider the principal risk. If the principal risk is greater than the dividend yield then the dividend is of no real value. I see the principal risk of this stock at more than 15% with a fair value closer to $50 – after adjusting for the pension accounting shenanigans.

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“S&P: Delta could be in line for upgrade” – Are they kidding?

Friday, May 25th, 2012 “S&P: Delta could be in line for upgrade” – Are they kidding?

I do not think S&P’s analysts are aware of Delta’s staggering $22.3 billion in off-balance sheet liabilities, which include $14.1 billion in underfunded pensions and $8.2 in operating leases.

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Bail Out of DAL Before the Stock Crashes

Friday, May 18th, 2012 DAL_EEvEPS

I recommend investors avoid Delta Airlines (DAL). I think the stock could see significant downward pressure as more investors realize how the company is propping up its earnings with relatively aggressive accounting for its pension and postretirement plan (“pensions”), which are already seriously underfunded.

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See How Diligence Paid In 2011

Monday, April 30th, 2012 dreamstimefree_6271799_handHoldingLightBulb

Everyone wants diligence. Few will ever turn it down. The problem is that diligence is expensive. New Constructs makes diligence cost-effective.

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The Real Earnings Season Begins Now

Friday, February 17th, 2012 The Real Earnings Season Begins Now

Nearly all of the invest­ing world ignores 10-K sea­son. 10-Ks contain the most important financial information that companies provide all year.

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