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Angie’s List Is In Trouble

Wednesday, July 23rd, 2014 11611320656_f8d0a36a17_o-e1392396971884

Angie’s List (ANGI) reported a larger than expected loss on Wednesday, and its revenues grew slower than expected.

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Update: Intel Earnings

Wednesday, July 16th, 2014 6675870523_bf9cec5f1d_m

In my most recent article, I said that modest growth over the next 15 years makes Intel worth ~$41 share today, and this earnings report strengthens my belief in that fair value estimate.

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JDS Uniphase Cp (JDSU) — free report for Ask Matt, Dangerous Rating

Thursday, August 26th, 2010 JDS Uniphase Cp (JDSU) — free report for Ask Matt, Dangerous Rating

RED FLAG: Our analy­sis of the Finan­cial Foot­notes reveals: the com­pany has writ­ten off over $60bn in assets over the last twelve years. That is a big num­ber com­pared to the company’s mar­ket cap of roughly $2.2bn and its net assets of about $1.3bn. This results in economic earnings of -$5,346mm compared to Net Income of -$866mm during the last fiscal year. For details on what causes the dif­fer­ence between Eco­nomic Ver­sus Account­ing Prof­its, see Appen­dix 3 on page 10 of our free report on JDSU.

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Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short FedEx Corp (FDX)

Tuesday, August 24th, 2010 Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short FedEx Corp (FDX)

RED FLAG: The main driver of the difference between Economic and Accounting earnings is FDX’s $11.9bn of off-balance sheet debt, a big number compared to $19.7bn in Net Assets and $25.6bn of market value.

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Stock Pick of the Week: Buy International Business Machines (IBM)

Tuesday, August 17th, 2010 Stock Pick of the Week: Buy International Business Machines (IBM)

HIDDEN GEM: Our detailed valuation model shows that IBM grew its “economic” profits more than it accounting profits during its last fiscal year. Economic profits rose by $1.15bn while accounting profits rose by $1.09bn.

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Economic Versus Accounting Earnings

Thursday, August 5th, 2010 dreamstimefree_966040_thornBranch

Accounting data was not designed for equity investors, but for debt investors. “Earnings, earnings per share and earnings growth are misleading measures of corporate performance.”(from page 66 in The Quest For Value by Bennett Stewart, Harper Collins 1991.)

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Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short Yahoo (YHOO)

Tuesday, August 3rd, 2010 Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short Yahoo (YHOO)

Overall, the Risk/Reward of investing in Yahoo’s stock looks Very Dangerous to me. There is lots of downside risk given the Misleading Earnings and there is little upside reward given the already-rich expectations embedded in the stock price.

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Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short Whole Foods Market (WFMI)

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010 Stock Pick of the Week: Sell/Short Whole Foods Market (WFMI)

One of the Most Dangerous Stocks for July, Whole Foods has misleading earnings and a sky-high valuation, in our opinion. The same is true for all of our Most Dangerous Stocks.

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GAP is Stock Pick of the Week – Hidden Gem

Friday, June 4th, 2010 GAP is Stock Pick of the Week – Hidden Gem

Hidden Gem – GPS: economic earnings are rising faster than reported accounting earnings b/c the company lowered the capital employed to run the business. GAAP earnings do not capture increase capital efficiency of the business.

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Sirius Satellite – A Dangerous Stock

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010 Sirius Satellite – A Dangerous Stock

TheStreet.com recently published three articles quoting me on SIRI. Andrea Tse called and, after reviewing our models on SIRI, I told her that the stock was Dangerous because:

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NYSE – Why it’s on the Most Dangerous List

Friday, May 28th, 2010 NYSE – Why it’s on the Most Dangerous List

There are two primary reasons a stock gets on our Most Dangerous List:

1. Misleading earnings: reported GAAP earnings are positive and rising while economic earnings are negative and declining
2. Expensive valuation: future cash flow expectations embedded in the current price are unusually high especially compared to historical performance.

Free copy of our report on NYX is in the Free Archive on www.newconstructs.com. Or just click here: NYX Company Valuation Report.

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Do It Yourself Guide To Finance

Thursday, May 13th, 2010 Do It Yourself Guide To Finance

If you are interested in learning how to uncover the truth about the profitability and valuation of stocks, the first… Read more >>

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Finance 101

Thursday, May 13th, 2010 Finance 101

Finance is the process for making accounting data useful.

Per Accounting 101: accounting data by itself is not useful. Think of accounting data as the words used in the language of Finance. Just as with any language, words can be arranged to convey almost any meaning.

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