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Danger Zone: Momentum Investors and the Financial Sector

Tuesday, November 26th, 2013 DZ_Fig1

As regulators dole out punishments that fit the crimes, they are finally closing many of the illegal trading loopholes that have driven so much of Wall Street profits over the past decade.

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Pension Net Funded Status – Valuation Adjustment

Friday, August 16th, 2013 NewConstructs_netpensions

Companies with underfunded pensions will likely need to divert a greater amount of future cash flows away from shareholders to make up the funding gap. An accurate analysis of shareholder value should include the net funded status of pensions.

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How To Find the Best Sector ETFs

Friday, November 30th, 2012 BestSectorETFs

Finding the best ETFs is an increasingly difficult task in a world where a new ETF seems to be born every 10 seconds.

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Sell BAC: Management Is Running Out of Gimmicks

Monday, March 5th, 2012 sellBACfigure2

Year to date, Bank Of America (BAC) stock is up nearly 45% compared to the S&P at +about 8%. BAC stock has bounced back nicely after dropping precipitously at the end of last year.
I would call the 45% bounce a “dead cat” bounce because I expect the stock to fall right back to $5/share, where it bottomed last Thanksgiving, or lower.

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Best and Worst Funds: Financials Sector

Monday, February 6th, 2012 Financials1

The Financials sector ranks last out of the ten major sectors as detailed in our sector roadmap. It gets my Dangerous rating, which, like my fund ratings, is based on aggre­ga­tion of stock rat­ings for each of 563 companies in the sector. The Financials sector is the bottom of the sector barrel.

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Forensic Accounting Says Avoid Energy & Financial Stocks

Tuesday, November 15th, 2011 Figure1

As one financial scandal follows another, it seems the good guys are having a tougher time catching the bad guys. Recent revelations about MF Global’s ponzi scheme are another reminder of how our regulatory and oversight systems seem to let whales pass through their net.

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ETF Shoppers: Accounting Trickery At Its Worst In Financial Sector

Tuesday, October 18th, 2011 Figure2

There are 25 financial sector ETFs. Per Figure 1, these 25 ETFs have drastically different stock holdings and, therefore, allocations. The lowest number of holdings is 24 while the highest is 496.
For starters, investors interested in the financial sector cannot expect many good investment options given that the sector gets my “dangerous” rating and ranks ninth out of the ten sectors that make up the economy. Details are in our sector roadmap report.

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Sell Morgan Stanley Before It Sells You Down the River

Tuesday, May 3rd, 2011 SellMorganStanleyFigure1

When Morgan Stanley (MS) started in 1935, there were around fifteen employees. For 2010, the company reported 62,542 employees. Bigger is not always better. And for big, publicly-traded companies, big tends to be worse especially when it comes to financial reporting.

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